Market Timing & Data

Sale-to-list ratios across California cities

Sale-to-list ratio — what homes actually sell for versus asking — separates seller's markets from buyer's markets city by city. In closed sales over the last 24 months, South Pasadena tops our table at 105.3% of list, while Joshua Tree sits at 92.6% with 40% of listings taking a price cut before selling.
OptionHomes Research
July 5, 2026 · 4 min read
Aerial view of a California suburban neighborhood with red-tile roofs

Where homes sell over asking

CitySales (24mo)Median DOMSale ÷ listListings cut
South Pasadena 31718 days105.3%15%
Newhall 48130 days104.3%34%
La Crescenta 31419 days103.7%19%
Brea 67015 days103.5%22%
Monrovia 50422 days103%20%
La Canada Flintridge 34419 days102.8%17%
Pasadena 2,05424 days102.5%19%
Crestline 56754 days102.4%45%
San Gabriel 45518 days102.3%24%
Rosemead 37019 days102.1%22%

Where buyers have leverage

CitySales (24mo)Median DOMSale ÷ listListings cut
Joshua Tree 52794 days92.6%40%
California City 41873 days92.6%40%
Aguanga 338111 days93.2%43%
Lucerne Valley 50181 days93.4%32%
Cambria 32049 days93.5%38%
Clearlake 43771 days93.6%39%
29 Palms 80473 days93.8%43%
Kelseyville 42784 days93.8%45%
Paradise 1,52661 days94.7%34%
Magalia 40372 days94.8%48%

Cities with at least 300 closed sales in the last 24 months. Sale ÷ list uses final list price. Methodology.

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Frequently asked questions

What does a sale-to-list ratio above 100% mean?

Homes in that market typically sell above the asking price — multiple-offer conditions. South Pasadena leads our data at 105.3% across 317 sales in 24 months.

Where do buyers have the most negotiating room in California?

Markets with sale-to-list well under 100% and high price-cut rates. In our data, Joshua Tree closes at 92.6% of list with 40% of listings taking a price cut.

Should sellers automatically price low in a hot market?

No — but hot-market data means a market-priced listing will find competition on its own. Deliberate underpricing is a strategy decision to make with an agent whose own sale-to-list record you have checked.